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Perhaps a better analogy: trying to turn a
sailboat against a strong wind risks snapping
the tiller. The SOAP boat has sailed fully loaded
and a slip in schedule is better than swamping.
If the ship is indeed "Coming about!" it is wiser to
duck rather than risk decapitation. That tactic
worked when the HTMLers wanted none of SGML. So
it had to be renamed and they had to believe the
ideas were their ideas. Whatever: the payload
arrived safely at its destination.
The folks I know who are working with SOAP are thrilled
down to the socks in their bellbottoms. If IBM and
BEA are offering comparable functionality to .NET,
the odds of turning the boat around soon aren't terribly good.