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It would be interesting if true. It isn't true. The
marketplace favored Windows over MAC. MAC was a superior
solution at a higher price, so the consumer bought the
Windows system. MAC was a closed system so the developers
went to the more open solution. Amplification and feedback
follow accordingly. But the MAC has not disappeared and
emulators thrive. Apple did not go out of business. Dec did.
Information ecosystems are not flat. They are n-dimensional.
We can characterize them as self and environment, but that is
too simple a model. Cost, performance, compatibility, availability,
ease, these and more affect how a market chooses among the
products offered. It naturally seeks a sweet spot and remarkably
finds it. But it seems to me that the developers will
be the early adopters of XAML or XUL, etc. I don't see them
being deprived of choice. I do see them having to decide to
market to larger or smaller niches based on all of the above.
They get to vote but that vote isn't binary or simple because
the applications they will build aren't and the competition
is thinning out the returns. As we say in my other life,
The really hard problem here, more political than technical,
is that without standards for rich clients, we will see
the fat applications play not just 'best on' but 'only on'
and telling the world 'we just want to provide the best
technologies' isn't going to work in markets that spent
billions over the last twenty years trying to get out
of that chinese finger puzzle and finally can. Microsoft
really should try to understand what drove the MID to
the solution we chose. If they ignore that, again, like
Netscape, they have made a fatal decision. I'm not
being dramatic. Failure to get the client right will
be a catastrophe for Microsoft.
From: Rich Salz [mailto:email@example.com]
> You probably misunderstood Len, He meant "customer vote". This is the
> ultimate vote. You may argue that they didn't have the choice; they may
> argue that they do not want choice. Just think for a moment, why the USA
I did not misunderstand Len. The marketplace wasn't even free to decide
if it had a choice.