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If I make a bet on the cat being dead, does that
alter the probability, the fact, or in any way
change the need to open the box and look?
On the other hand, if I am making a bet on
spam, my risks are lower than the cat betting
that I am going to open the box.
Given the frequency of spam, the occasional
misclassification is a low cost event, strictly
speaking although there is a probability that
I will miss something important.
Pragmatic systems are learning systems.
From: Chris Burdess [mailto:email@example.com]
The fact that "dumb" Bayesian
networks with no semantic formalisms have been much more successful
than expert systems in classifying spam, and therefore much more
useful to real people, is perhaps a beacon in this regard.