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   Re: RE: [xml-dev] Tim Bray on "Which Technologies Matter?"

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3/18/2002 10:14:02 AM, "Bullard, Claude L (Len)" <clbullar@ingr.com> wrote:

>Do the other as well.   Based on those, 
>the Semantic Web, DAML, OIL, and maybe 
>RDF are headed for the heap too.

Ahem ... you said it, not me. Time will tell ...
I would say that the apparent victory of Google 
over metadata is another win for the 80/20 rule.
It will be interesting to see if the intrinsic 
complexity of human language raises the bar high enough
so that some semantic web technology is actually
simpler to work with than a brute force technology 
at some point.  

>RISC succeeded and quietly was absorbed into 
>the Intel monopoly.   Once a monopoly exists, 
>its leadership is the predictor of success for technologies 
>that follow.   MS support was the main factor 
>in the success of XML.   All other factors pale 
>by comparison.

Thanks to those who educated me on RISC.  So,
did XML and RISC succeed because monopolists decided
to support them ... or did the monopolists decide that
being on the right side of the 80/20 point was the 
best way to maintain their edge?  Say what one will about
the Duopoly's business practices, they both act as if
there is competition when it comes to technology ...
because, in the long run, there always is.

Likewise SOAP and REST ... if REST really nails the
80/20 point, I expect it to be quietly subsumed by
the "web services" vision and products of the big companies.


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