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Do the other as well. Based on those,
the Semantic Web, DAML, OIL, and maybe
RDF are headed for the heap too.
RISC succeeded and quietly was absorbed into
the Intel monopoly. Once a monopoly exists,
its leadership is the predictor of success for technologies
that follow. MS support was the main factor
in the success of XML. All other factors pale
by comparison.
Anyone think that earlier adoption and less
public resistance from Netscape on the use
of XML would have benefitted their independence
and survival? Resistance to the markup meme
seems to do damage. This is one where
the markup detractors hurt their businesses.
But there is coming a time when XML will have
to defend itself. A solid, clear-eyed,
experienced and well-informed developer and
user base will be its best defense. Keep a
clean history and don't divide up along
the lines of who zoomed who. That is a losing
strategy because it enables you to weaken
yourselves and your competitors will use
the press to help you do it.
len
From: Mike Champion [mailto:mc@xegesis.org]
>Finally, if Tim is right, what XML technologies would YOU bet on as
>market successes?
I'll beat Paul Prescod to the punch :~) and suggest that if Tim is
right, REST will beat SOAP-RPC. That will be a classic
showdown ... EVERY other "predictive" factor would suggest that
SOAP-RPC will win, and 80/20 clearly suggests that REST will win.
That will also test Michael Kay's alternative hypothesis that whatever
gets the most support from the pundits will be the winner.
Seal your ballot and put it in a time capsule to be opened in 2007!
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